Learning path

Time Series Forecasting

Trend and seasonality, stationarity and differencing, ARIMA and honest forecast evaluation, with animated films and runnable Python. Part of the Data Scientist premium track.

  1. 1

    Time Series: Trend, Seasonality and Moving Averages

    Break any time series into trend, seasonality and noise, smooth it with moving averages, and make your first simple forecasts with pandas.

    3 min read
  2. 2

    Stationarity, Differencing and Autocorrelation

    What stationarity means, why forecasting models need it, how differencing and log transforms create it, and how to read autocorrelation (ACF) to spot patterns and choose lags.

    3 min read
  3. 3

    ARIMA Forecasting in Python

    Understand AR, I and MA, fit ARIMA and seasonal SARIMA models with statsmodels, forecast with confidence intervals, and evaluate on a time-based test set, plus a from-scratch AR…

    3 min read